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February 01, 2011



I do think Iraq may have weakened the relevant strength of Islamists a bit. That said, I think th US policy with the most direct impact would be that in Lebanon and of course (as always) Israel.

Perhaps the biggest single lesson the whole Arab street seems to have learned is that even when the US wins it doesn't have the ability to control what happens. This is actually a useful lesson, because it tends to deflate the idea that we *want* the bad outcomes that so frequently eventuate there.

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